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Alternative History

13 Jun 2007 02:01 pm

Reading Michael Gerson's attack on conservatives fleeing Bushism, I found myself wondering what would have happened if Bush had followed through on his 2000 promises to be "a different kind of conservative" on the issues he championed in the campaign - education, prescription drugs, and faith-based initiatives - but had then toed a much firmer small-government line on (to pick a few examples) the transportation bill, the energy bill, and McCain-Feingold, wielding a veto pen instead of either standing aside or actively working to push pork-laden legislation through. Put another way, I wonder if small-government conservatives would be so angry at Bush today if he had deviated from their orthodoxy on a narrow but important group of issues, but had found more opportunities to present himself as responsive to their concerns, instead of stiff-arming them even on issues like campaign-finance reform that had little to do with either winning elections or advancing his "different kind of conservative" agenda. I suspect that immigration "reform" would have still been a deal-breaker for a lot of a right-wingers, but it's an interesting hypothetical to contemplate, and I bet a few (richly-merited) vetoes would have gone a long way toward moderating the conservative antipathy to this Administration that's built up over the past few years.

A lesson of Bush's souring relationship with many small-government conservatives, I think, is that it's one thing to ask people to compromise some of their principles to build a winning coalition; it's quite another to simply dismiss a large chunk of your political base by saying, as Gerson does in his column, that being "a different kind of Republican" means being "the kind that isn't libertarian or nativist," full stop, end of story. Libertarians and "nativists" (love that derogatory language!) may have had too much influence in the 1990s GOP, and I'm obviously closer to Gerson in my wariness about giving the small-government right the reins to the party going forward. But there wouldn't be a conservative movement or a Republican coalition without these groups, and while it's one thing for a politician who wants to take his party in a new direction to take on some Sister Souljahs along the way, it's quite another to make almost every domestic-policy moment feel like a Sister Souljah moment.

Comments (8)

I, too, wonder if conservatives would feel differently about Bush if he had behaved entirely differently than he has. What if he and his administration had been honest and not corrupt? Competent and not idiotic?

If only there had been some clues in 2004 (or even 2000) about what he was really like, perhaps conservatives like Ross would not have voted for him. If only liberals had been critical of him and his policies, perhaps things would be different today.

In this alternate history, would Bush still have raped our basic notion of what it means to be an American by asserting, in the face of a relatively trivial threat, the right to hold, indefinitely and without fair hearing, an American citizen? Most of the base seemed fine with that, and yet it is distinctly at odds with professed "libertarian" ideology. It's quite possible--even probable, on evidence--that the "libertarians" in the GOP aren't very libertarian, and are now only upset at being associated with an obvious loser rather than any policy that loser pursued. It's not as if he raised taxes, after all.

Great post Ross, particularly that last sentence. Spot-on.

...if he had deviated from their orthodoxy on a narrow but important group of issues, but had found more opportunities to present himself as responsive to their concerns, instead of stiff-arming them even on issues like campaign-finance reform...

I never quite understood his non-veto of this hideous abomination. My guess is Rove advised him McCain-Feingold would hurt Democrats more than Republicans. It didn't, but even if it had, the bill should have been vetoed.

"My guess is Rove advised him McCain-Feingold would hurt Democrats more than Republicans."

Yet another case of Mr. Rove proving to be too clever by half. Time wounds all heels!

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