« The Uses of Illiberalism | Main | The Ahmadinejad Follies »

She Can't Be Stopped

26 Sep 2007 09:11 am

Nothing in John Dickerson's list of strategies for stopping Hillary goes any distance toward persuading me that any of her rivals can derail her march to the nomination. (I think Dickerson himself would agree ...) Going into the primary campaign, the main hope for the non-Hillary candidates seemed to be the theory that there existed a large chunk - say, sixty percent or more - of the Democratic electorate that would only vote for her under duress, either because they didn't like her personality, because they thought that she was too right-wing (particularly on foreign policy), or because they thought she was unelectable in November. At this point, that hope seems to have been dashed: The anti-Hillary share of the primary vote is shaping up to be right around forty percent, which in a divided field simply isn't anywhere near enough to derail a candidate with Hillary's institutional advantages and deep reserves of support. If Edwards dropped out before Iowa, or if Obama did - or maybe, maybe, if Gore got in - you might see this landscape shift a bit. But small-bore attacks on her honesty, her cozy relationship with lobbyists, or her electability just aren't going to shift the dials as far as her rivals need to shift them.

(Nor will flip-flopping campaign strategies, for that matter, though I agree with Noam that there's good reason to think that Edwards and Obama ought to trade approaches.)

Share This

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://rossdouthat.theatlantic.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/16558

Comments (18)

I'm still struck by the latent sexism in many people's (Ross included) attitude towards Hillary Clinton winning the nomination.

"She Can't Be Stopped!"

I can't really see how this juggernaut mentality isn't a reflection of people's suspicious regard for ambitious & powerful women. If either Obama or Edwards were Mr. Inevitability would anyone be writing blog posts called "He Can't Be Stopped"?

I mean, admit it already, you secretly (or maybe not so secretly) think Hillary Clinton is the proverbial bitch on wheels.

I don't understand why more people aren't talking about Gore. He's sort of a rock star on the left with the movie he made. Plus, he's got the whole victim status of the 2000 election thing going for him, and you know he has a huge rolodex full of potential friends and contributers. He just seems like a shoe in if he enters the race. He just seems like the best of both worlds, combining a patina of radical leftism with a enough experience and mainstreamism to appeal to the maximum amount of voters. Or maybe it's the opposite, a patina of experience with a boatload of radicalism. I don't know...

Bill, I think Ross was making a reference to John Podhoretz's book "Can She Be Stopped?"

What's interesting is that neither Edwards or Obama have made foreign policy a central issue in their campaign. I think if Obama, in particular, made a strong move to the left (more towards Richardson's position on Iraq) it could change the landscape. He may not do it, however, since that could hurt him in a general election battle with one of the Republican crazies.

If she loses an early primary or two the party and the media will turn on her like pitbulls on a pork chop. The Dems want to win in 2008 in the most desperate way, and for good reason, given the abortion-by-corkscrew that has been the Bushpig Era.

MoeLarry,

What's wrong with abortions? According to your side, aren't they as wholesome and American as (single) motherhood and apple pie?

Perhaps you can explain it to me,

Why do both parties in the US persist in using plurality voting in the primaries? Neither Obama or Edwards looks like they have a chance to win, but if one of them yielded, the odds would be immensely much better, because they wouldn't be splitting the left-of-Hillary vote.
As it is, it seems to me they are running a game of "chicken". Can they really not realize this? In my darker moments I wonder if one of them isn't running exactly for that reason, to spoil for the other.

The system used now in the primaries has a big problem: it could potentially elect a candidate that is strictly less popular than _any_ of his opponents, in the sense that any of them would have won a runoff against him. This is not just a potential problem either: There is good evidence that McGovern in 1972 and Goldwater in 1964 both were in that position. They won with tiny pluralities (33% and 22%?), and the both lost with landslides to the other party's candidate.

Why, oh why, don't they change to a system that doesn't have this weakness? On the national level, I understand the difficulties, but inside parties? It's in their common interest, after all!


It's a wrap. Let's just move straight to the general election. It's too bad we couldn't do it a year early and have the changeover in 08.

She's a paragon of moderation in a world of loonies on the extremes. Don't let her bodyguards, 'investigators' and bully boys and girls put you off...it's just her little folksy, powerful-woman style.

buy online viagra

buy cod viagra http://magic-pills-swicki.eurekster.com/Buy+Viagra+Online buy viagra online buy prescription viagra without

want delete your site from spam bases? mail your domain name - andydelay[at]gmail.com.

want delete your site from spam bases? mail your domain name - andydelay[at]gmail.com.

The community should provide adequate programs to help juvenile delinquents

The Aging Population Hurts The Economy

I haven't been up to anything lately. I've just been letting everything wash over me recently. My life's been generally boring lately.

I haven't been up to much today. What can I say? I can't be bothered with anything lately. I just don't have anything to say these days, but eh. I don't care.

Blame the parents of a murderer parents for the crime

Rural development is the main cause of wildfires

Post a comment

By using this service you agree not to post material that is obscene, harassing, defamatory, or otherwise objectionable. Although The Atlantic does not monitor comments posted to this site (and has no obligation to), it reserves the right to delete, edit, or move any material that it deems to be in violation of this rule.


Copyright © 2008 by The Atlantic Monthly Group. All rights reserved.